This SG625 glider is assumed to be drifting with the forecast surface currents (starting within a circle of uncertainty).
The black contours shown are reachability front forecasts, at 6 hour intervals (0hr to 24hr forecasts, with increasing line thickness for later times). The reachability front is the boundary of the largest set (the reachable set) that the glider can reach within that duration. It is computed by numerically solving our exact governing PDE for this time-optimal reachability front.
The forecasts use MSEAS current forecasts that were initialized Feb28 0Z, and the plots show our reachability prediction. Note that the atmospheric forcing is a forecast from Feb28 and it is a bit coarse. Finally, we don't model wave/windage effects on the glider.
SG 625 (Mar01 0233Z start) Starting Location: 20.6432°N, 85.9556°W |
SG 625 (Mar01 2000Z start) Starting Location: 20.9786°N, -86.0172°W |
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Surface Velocity Background | Surface Velocity Background |
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