MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 08 Apr 1200Z to 13 Apr 0000Z 2019, Issued 08 Apr 2019

MSEAS 1/200-deg Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (tidally-forced forecasts downscaled from WMOP, HYCOM and CMEMS)

Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for T, S, u, v, w and eta fields, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.

Ensemble Mean Ensemble Standard Deviation

Click on any depth label for a full set of plots.

Note: The units of vertical velocity are m/day; of horizontal velocity, cm/s.

Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours)
Full Modeling Domain (1/200° resolution)
0m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinity
50m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
100m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
250m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
500m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity

Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours)
Full Modeling Domain (1/200° resolution)
0m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinity
50m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
100m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
250m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
500m
Horiz. VelocityTemperatureSalinityVert. Velocity
   

To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.

The file names can be interpreted as follows (all times are in UTC):

            time of last
          analysis field          time of last
           in simulation        fields in file
              yyyymmddHH            yyyymmddHH
MIT_calypso_2019040700_2019040700_2019041300_01h.nc.gz
                         yyyymmddHH            HH
                      time of first    frequency with which
                     fields in file  fields are stored in file


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