MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 06 Apr 1200Z to 11 Apr 0000Z 2019, Issued 06 Apr 2019
MSEAS 1/200-deg Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (tidally-forced forecasts downscaled from WMOP, HYCOM and CMEMS)
Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for T, S, u, v, w and eta fields, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.
Click on any section label for a full set of plots.
Note: The units of vertical velocity are m/day; of horizontal velocity, cm/s.
Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours) |
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Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours) |
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To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.
The file names can be interpreted as follows (all times are in UTC):
time of last
analysis field time of last
in simulation fields in file
yyyymmddHH yyyymmddHH
MIT_calypso_2019040500_2019040500_2019041100_01h.nc.gz
yyyymmddHH HH
time of first frequency with which
fields in file fields are stored in file
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