MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 10 Mar 0000Z to 14 Mar 0000Z 2022, Issued 10 Mar 2022
MSEAS 2700m Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (tidally-forced forecasts downscaled from WMOP)
Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for T, S, u, v, w and eta fields, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.
Click on any depth label for a full set of plots.
| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours) |
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| Full Modeling Domain (2700m resolution) |
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0m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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50m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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100m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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250m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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500m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours) |
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| Full Modeling Domain (2700m resolution) |
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0m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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50m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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100m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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250m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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500m |
| Sigma-T | Horiz. Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.
The file names can be interpreted as follows (all times are in UTC):
time of last
analysis field time of last
in simulation fields in file
yyyymmddHH yyyymmddHH
MIT_calypso_2022030800_2022030800_2022031400_01h.nc.gz
yyyymmddHH HH
time of first frequency with which
fields in file fields are stored in file
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