MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 23 Apr 0400Z to 25 Apr 1600Z 2021, Issued 21 Apr 2021
MSEAS 600m Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (tidally-forced forecasts downscaled from HYCOM)
Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for plume, T, S, u, v fields, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.
Click on any depth label for a full set of plots.
| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours) |
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| Full Modeling Domain (600m resolution) |
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0m |
| Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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75m |
| Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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Bottom |
| Plume | Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours) |
|---|
| Full Modeling Domain (600m resolution) |
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0m |
| Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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|
75m |
| Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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Bottom |
| Plume | Velocity | Temperature | Salinity |
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To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.