MSEAS Probabilistic Analysis and Forecasts for 23 Apr 0000Z to 29 Apr 0000Z 2025, Issued 23 Apr 2025
MSEAS 1/25° Probabilistic Ocean Forecasts (atmospheric and tidally-forced forecasts initialized from both downscaled Mercator and downscaled HYCOM)
Physics-balanced stochastic models and ESSE dominant subspace decompositions are used to represent the dominant uncertainties in the initial and boundary conditions for T, S, u, v, w, and eta fields for the HYCOM and Mercator modeling system fields, in the MSEAS model parameters, in the atmospheric surface forcing flux fields, and in the tidal forcing parameters.
Click on any section label for a full set of plots.
| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Standard Deviations (every 6 hours) |
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| Snapshot Time-Series of the ESSE Ensemble Means (every 6 hours) |
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To obtain the MSEAS ESSE ensemble files, contact the MSEAS group.
The file names can be interpreted as follows (all times are in UTC):
time of last
analysis field time of last
in simulation fields in file
yyyymmddHH yyyymmddHH
MIT_grase_2025042300_2025042300_2025042900_01h.nc.gz
yyyymmddHH HH
time of first frequency with which
fields in file fields are stored in file
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